Bilbao vs Sociedad at 9:15 pm on April 15th (Round 29 of La Liga 2022/23 in Spain): Expert opinions, predictions, analysis of football odds, and statistics on Asian Handicap.
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Prediction for today's football match between Bilbao vs Sociedad (0:1/4): 1-0.
After being eliminated by Osasuna from the Spanish Cup, Bilbao's only chance to return to European competition after a five-year absence (since 2018/19) is to secure a place in the Top 6 of La Liga this season. In fact, if Bilbao can maintain their current position of 7th place and Real Madrid beats Osasuna to win the Spanish Cup, Valverde's team will achieve the same result.
However, it is better for them to determine their own fate than rely on others. Therefore, the Basque team first needs to overcome the 5-point gap with Betis (6th place), and the remaining 10 rounds are enough for them to achieve this.
Recently, Bilbao has had a relatively ideal performance for a Top 6 team: earning points in 4/5 recent rounds (2 wins). However, it is worth noting that both recent victories were achieved away from home. At the San Mames stadium, the "lions" only managed to defeat Cadiz in the last 6 matches of La Liga.
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The upcoming opponent that Bilbao will face is their Basque neighbor, Sociedad, and a derby match is always unpredictable. For example, last season, Bilbao demolished Sociedad 4-0, which was the largest margin of victory in the 21st century between the two teams. However, in recent years, Bilbao has somewhat fallen behind their opponents.
Evidence: In the last 3 seasons, Sociedad has been in the Top 6. However, at this time, Alguacil's team has a similar performance to Bilbao in La Liga: 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. If Bilbao is unstable at home, Sociedad also has problems as an away team: they have only earned 1 point in the last 3 rounds of La Liga.
However, the current gap between the two teams is 11 points. This factor makes the Asian Handicap of Bilbao (1/4) seem reasonable, equivalent to the handicap of the first leg (Sociedad handicapped 1/4), although their positions were nearly the same (on January 15th, 2023).
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In addition, Sociedad has only lost once as an away team since the beginning of La Liga 202/23 (against Real Madrid at home). Even when they visited Villarreal, who was just behind them in the standings, they were still considered equal (0-0). However, it should be noted that Bilbao is a tough opponent at home, and they have not lost in their last 4 home matches in La Liga.
Choose Under 2. Expected lineups Bilbao vs Sociedad Bilbao: Aguirrezabala; De Marcos, Vivian, I. Martinez, Yuri; D. Garcia, Vesga; I. Williams, Sancet, N. Williams; Guruzeta Sociedad: Remiro; Gorosabel, Zubeldia, Le Normand, Munoz; Zubimendi; Mendez, Merino; D. Silva; Kubo, Sorloth Predicted result Bilbao vs Sociedad: 1-0